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dc.contributor.authorJones, P.G.
dc.contributor.authorThornton, Philip K.
dc.date.accessioned2013-05-06T07:01:07Z
dc.date.available2013-05-06T07:01:07Z
dc.date.issued2003
dc.identifier.citationGlobal Environmental Change;13(1): 51-59
dc.identifier.issn0959-3780
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10568/28668
dc.description.abstractThe impacts of climate change on agriculture may add significantly to the development challenges of ensuring food security and reducing poverty. We show the possible impacts on maize production in Africa and Latin America to 2055, using high-resolution methods to generate characteristic daily weather data for driving a detailed simulation model of the maize crop. Although the results indicate an overall reduction of only 10% in maize production to 2055, equivalent to losses of $2 billion per year, the aggregate results hide enormous variability: areas can be identified where maize yields may change substantially. Climate change urgently needs to be assessed at the level of the household, so that poor and vulnerable people dependent on agriculture can be appropriately targeted in research and development activities whose object is poverty alleviation.
dc.language.isoen
dc.sourceGlobal Environmental Change
dc.subjectAFRICA
dc.subjectLATIN AMERICA
dc.subjectCLIMATE
dc.subjectMAIZE
dc.subjectPLANT PRODUCTION
dc.subjectPOVERTY
dc.subjectMODELS
dc.titleThe potential impacts of climate change on maize production in Africa and Latin America in 2055
dc.typeJournal Article
cg.subject.ilriLIVELIHOODS
cg.subject.ilriCLIMATE CHANGE
cg.identifier.statusLimited Access
cg.identifier.doihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(02)00090-0
cg.coverage.regionAFRICA
cg.coverage.regionLATIN AMERICA


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